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BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc.
About the Company
Berkshire's appeal is its combination of steady operating businesses, a massive investment cushion, and the discipline of Buffett's capital allocation. The insurance operations generate what Buffett calls "float" — money held from policyholders before claims are paid — which Berkshire invests at no cost. The railroad and energy businesses throw off reliable cash. And the investment portfolio provides upside if the underlying companies (particularly Apple, its largest holding) continue to grow.
The key risk is concentration and succession. Apple alone represents about 22% of Berkshire's equity portfolio, so a big drop in Apple's stock would hurt Berkshire meaningfully. Warren Buffett, who has run the company for 60 years, is 94 — investors have long wondered whether the company's culture and performance will persist after his eventual departure. Our model estimates fair value at roughly $531 per share, about 9% above the current price, with analysts averaging around $570.
Valuation Methods
| Method | Role | Fair Value | Implied Return | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| sum-of-parts | Primary | $531 | +8.8% | medium |
| ev-ebitda-peer | Cross-check | $249 | -49.0% | low |
| consensus-cross-check | Universal | $570 | +16.7% | low |
| reverse-dcf | Universal | — | — | low |
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